A Reuters poll suggests Donald Trump’s incoming administration may impose 40% tariffs on Chinese imports by early 2025, significantly higher than prior tariffs of 7.5%-25%. Economists predict this could cut China’s GDP growth by 0.5-1%, challenging its already fragile economy due to weak domestic demand, property sector issues, and rising debt. While additional Chinese stimulus is expected, its current impact has been minimal. Analysts anticipate China will unveil further measures to offset trade tensions, as growth forecasts for 2025 remain at 4.5%. These tariffs could also strain U.S. inflation, limiting higher tariff levels.